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Sat, Sep 12 · Week 2

Thomas More College at Dayton weather recap

Thomas More CollegeSaints · 0-2
7
atFinal
DaytonFlyers · 6-1 · Pioneer
30
Kickoff
Venue
Welcome Stadium, Dayton, OH
TV
YouTube
The short answer

It was 78°F and wet, with 0.12 in of rain at kickoff, gusts to 19 mph. Final: Thomas More College 7, Dayton 30.

Kickoff forecast (final issued)

Forecast not available yet

Hourly forecasts reach 16 days out. No kickoff weather on record.

Typical September at the stadium: highs near 79°26°, lows near 60°16°, rain on 27% of days.

Prediction · backtest

What we predicted, and what happened

Projected winnerDayton97% win chance
Projected scoreTHO 10 – 40 DAYFinal 7–30 Called it
3% Thomas More CollegeDayton 97%
What the weather does
  • Rain−1.2 pts−11 pass yds

−1.2 points in all. Without the weather: THO 11, DAY 41.

Field-goal range
41 ydkicking toward the S end
49 ydkicking toward the N end
THODAY
Passing yards151140241211
Rushing yards9282209205
Turnovers2.11.2

Small numbers: what happened.

Players

Dayton

Projected yardsTD chance
  1. Bryce Schondelmyer #7 QB
    235 pass yds · 2.6 TD passes actual 211
  2. Donovan Weatherly #2 Receiver
    92 rec yds actual 39
  3. Mason Hackett #27 Runner
    45 rush yds actual 65
  4. Gavin Lochow #12 Receiver TD
    60 rec yds · 30 rush yds actual 34
  5. Michael Mussari #1 Receiver
    51 rec yds actual 90
  6. Noah Spencer #35 Runner TD
    48 rush yds actual 61

What happened

TD chance: the chance the player runs or catches a touchdown himself. A quarterback's touchdown passes are listed beside his passing yards. Player projections come from recent usage. They do not know about injuries, suspensions or depth-chart changes. Players who did not play are not graded.

Backtest: predicted using only games played before this one and the weather that was measured during it. Predictions are for entertainment and education, not betting advice. We publish no odds, lines or totals.

How these predictions are graded
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Stadium

Welcome Stadium

Stadium page
Welcome Stadium

Photo: Wswbaker, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Location
Dayton, OH
Capacity
11,000
Surface
Turf
Roof
Open air
Field runs
south to north
Elevation
730 ft222 m
Built
1949
Map
Typical in September

Highs near 79°26°, lows near 60°16°. Rain on 27% of days, gusts over 30 mph on 9%, above 90°F on 2%. 10-year average.

Series history

Dayton leads 1-0

1 meeting tracked here since 2025 · Dayton won the last meeting (recent seasons only, not the all-time record).

Last 1 meetings
SeasonDateGameResultSite
2025Sep 6Thomas More College at DaytonDayton 38-0Welcome Stadium
Game-day weather history

Recent games at Welcome Stadium

Actual kickoff weather at recent games
DateGameFinalKickoff weather
Sat, Oct 10, 2026Morehead State at Dayton28–5665°18° · dry · 17 mph28 km/h gusts
Q&A

Thomas More College at Dayton: questions fans ask

What was the weather at Thomas More College at Dayton?

It was 78°F and wet, with 0.12 in of rain at kickoff, gusts to 19 mph. Final: Thomas More College 7, Dayton 30.

Does Welcome Stadium have a roof?

No. Welcome Stadium is an open-air stadium with an artificial turf field, so the weather plays a part.